News: Former Yunnan Party Secretary Qin Guangrong (秦光荣) turned himself in today to CCDI for committing serious violations of party discipline and law. Quick Take: Qin is the second Party Secretary to be taken down in Yunnan—Qin’s predecessor Bai Enpei (白恩培) was ousted in August 2011 for committing millions of bribes and charged of suspended death sentence, the harshest penalty ever given to a senior official since the whole anti-corruption campaign. Moreover interestingly, Qin Guangrong’s son Qin Ling (秦岭), former executive director of Huarong Asset Management Co., (华融资产管理股份有限公司), had also been under investigation previously, as one of the continuous disruptions in the company after its then-board chairman Lai Xiaomin was ousted in October 2018. Qin Guangrong’s surrender is very likely related to his son’s wrong doings. In any case, we expect more disruptions to follow shortly in Yunnan.
News: A national conference on public security was held in Beijing on 7 and 8 May. The conference was attended by a number of senior officials including Chinese president Xi Jinping, PBSC member and Vice Premier Han Zheng, and PBSC member and Central Committee Secretariat Wang Huning. In his keynote speech, Xi stressed the importance of police loyalty and competence, and the need to reform through technology. Last but not least, Xi also pointed out the “zero-tolerance” to any violations of party discipline within the police force. Quick Take: It’s been 16 years since last such conference on public security was held, under the lead of then-president Hu jintao in 2003. The implication is two-fold—firstly, it was Xi’s first appearance at such high-profile conference centered on public security. The department has previously been relatively sidelined from core political dynamic; however, as the former Public Security Vice Minister Meng Hongwei (孟宏伟) was taken down for corruption and political wrongdoings in October 2018, it has then gained much attention and became a key target of CCDI’s antigraft investigation in 2019. There have recently been countless disruptions within the department and multiple departmental and county-level officials taken down nationwide. Secondly, loyalty to the party and to Xi personally becomes an increasingly important factor in officialdom, not just in public security but also in all government organs.
News: Three of Guangdong’s prefectural-level cities have their new Party Secretaries reshuffled today. Ma Wentian (马文田) was appointed Shantou Party Secretary, Li Yalin (李雅林) was appointed Chaozhou Party Secretary, and Ye Niuping (叶牛平) was appointed Jieyang Party Secretary. Notably, all Shantou, Chaozhou and Jieyang are identified as Teoswa region, located in the east of the province and distinguished by its dialect. Quick Take: Guangdong has always been a region with vast factional network, mainly characterized by its dialects. Local officials identified with different factions have thus been highly divided into different gangs, which was indeed the root cause of the province’s entangling corruptional network that has been troubling Xi over the years. The situation only started to change since 2012 when CCP started transferring officials from outside to the province, a major remedy to break down the regional gangs. However, such personnel reshuffling has indeed only remained on the provincial level—due to regional particularities in different localities, the major posts in prefectural-level cities are mostly taken by locals. Interestingly, even though all three newly appointed officials today have previously served in the province, none of them are Guangdong local—Ma is from Henan, Li from Shandong, and Ye from Anhui. As the province turns into an increasingly significant region both economically and technologically, the antigraft campaign comes along strong too. Such trend to transfer non-local officials to cities with clear factional identification is likely to continue within the province.
News: Former Chief Inspector of Central Commission of Discipline Inspection (CCDI) at Foreign Affairs Office Zhang Ji (张骥) was transferred to become Chief Inspector of CCDI at Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MFA) today. Quick Take: Zhang is to replace Xie Hangsheng (谢杭生), who has been working in CCDI system at MFA for more than seven years. Now aged 64, one year over the stated age limit, Xie will now officially enter retirement. Including Zhang’s appointment today, there have been a continuous wave of personnel reshuffling in MFA since the beginning of this year, including Assistant Minister Liu Xianfa (刘显法) and Party Secretary Qi Yu (齐玉). Apart from this, we have also observed a notable crossover between commerce and foreign affairs in the background of many recently transferred officials—for example, Zhang Ji spent most of his career in Ministry of Foreign Trade and Economic Cooperation and Ministry of Commerce before serving for CCDI; moreover, Liu Xianfa has previously worked for SINOPEC and NDRC before entering Foreign Affairs. Last but not least, recently appointed Ministry of Commerce Vice Party Secretary Yu Jianhua (俞建华) has also taken several posts in foreign affairs such as China’s permanent representative to the UN office in Geneva. This emerging trend suggests that officials’ previous work experience in these two fields is now being increasingly valued for promotion.
News: China’s State Council released a new regulation on government investment on 5 May. It draws out a clear-cut investment scope, and specifies that for any investment plan to get approved, it must align with national economic and social development goals. Moreover, budgetary constraints are also hardened on government investment funds, which are now prohibited from being raised through illegal borrowing. The new regulation will come into effect on 1 July 2019. Quick Take: This is yet another effort to tackle down China’s rampant borrowing and risky lending practices, as well as the country’s alarming local debt issue over the years. The enormous amount of off-balance-sheet local debt, mostly originated from local governments’ unsafe financial operations and reckless investments to hit GDP targets in previous years, has become a grave concern especially amid the economic slowdown. Struggling to maintain stability in the economy while fendig off such potential threats, the central government is now toughening up its hold in financial activities. Following the regulation, investments will now be mostly directed to public sectors including infrastructure facilities, agricultural sectors, social services, and environmental protections etc.
News: According to the latest announcement from the Ministry of Finance, local governments are asked to accelerate the process of issuing local bonds, and should “scientifically” determine the maturity structure of the bonds. The issuance of all new bonds, which are worth of CNY 3.08 trillion, is expected to complete by September 2019. Quick Take: As China seeks to bolster market growth this year amid economic downturn, great pressure has fallen onto local governments on selling more debt to aid local development, particularly on the financing for infrastructure and constructions. However, considering that many local governments has been facing huge amount of invisible debt which poses tremendous threat of default, such requirement from the central government indeed seems difficult to achieve. The biggest question remains whether the region’s fiscal revenue is able to catch up with its increasing debt; if not, the sustainability of economy would be of serious concern. Now how regional governments would maneuver to accomplish the requirements by September without curbing its balance sheet remains to be seen.
News: Former Inner Mongolia People’s Congress Standing Committee (PCSC) Vice Chairman Xing Yun (邢云) was expelled from CCP for serious violation of party discipline and law. Quick Take: An Inner Mongolia local, Xing had spent his entire career in the province, and had served as Political and Legal Commission Chairman for five years before stepping down to PCSC Vice Chairman in 2012, as he approached retirement age. Xing was indeed under investigation last October, and his ouster is followed by several others in the region’s public security sector, including former Inner Mongolia Public Security Deputy Director Meng Jianwei (孟建伟). Due to such collapsing corruption, CCP has determined to deeply clean up the region’s public security sector, and Inner Mongolia is now one of the only three out of all 31 provinces where its Vice Party Secretary concurrently serves as the Political and Legal Commission Chairman.
News: Former Inner Mongolia Political and Legal Affairs Commission Chairman and Secretary-General Luo Yonggang (罗永纲) was appointed Hubei CCPSC today. Quick Take: Originally from Shanxi, Luo has indeed based his entire political career in Inner Mongolia since 1986. He was appointed Inner Mongolia CCPSC and Secretary-General in 2016, and took on the post of Political and Legal Affairs Commission Chairman in October 2018. In 4 April 2019 he was replaced by Lin Shaochun (林少春), the newly appointed Inner Mongolia Vice Party Secretary in March who was then concurrently appointed head of Political and Legal Affairs Commission. Luo’s specific post in Hubei CCPSC remains to be seen, but will most likely fill up the vacancy of the province’s head of Political and Legal Affairs Commission. It was left by Wang Xiangxi (王祥喜), who departed in March to become Chairman of China Energy Investment Co., a central SOE and China’s largest power company.