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Former central official appointed Qinghai vice governor

News: Former Central and State Organs Working Committee (CSOWC) General Office Director Liu Tao (刘涛) was appointed Qinghai Vice Governor today. Quick Take: Liu is essentially a central official whose entire career is based in the central government. He started his political career in 1986 as a Communist Youth League official under the then-State Development Planning Commission, a commission that was later folded into NDRC. Liu was transferred to CSOWC in 2003, and had then served respectively as its United Front Works Chief and Organization Chief, and in 2016 was appointed its General Office Director. Liu is to fill up the seat left by Han Jianhua (韩建华), who was transferred out of the province in March to take the post of CPPCC Vice Secretary-General. Seems like Qinghai has conducted a central-local official exchange.

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Former Chongqing vice mayor appointed Hunan political and legal affairs commission chief

News: Former Chongqing Vice Mayor Li Dianxun (李殿勋) was appointed Hunan CCPSC member and Political and Legal Affairs Commission Chief today. Quick Take: Following Huang Guanchun (黄关春)’s appointment yesterday, Li Dianxun will now take up his seat as Hunan Political and Legal Affairs Commission Chief. Li’s entire political career is based in Chongqing since 1991, and has previously been serving in Chongqing Legislative Affairs Office for a long period of time. He was appointed Chongqing Vice Mayor in January 2018 during the city’s massive personnel restructuring, after the ouster of the “tiger” Sun Zhengcai and a number of related officials. Li’s appointment today is the 6thadjustments of provincial political and legal affairs commission posts since 2019.

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Vice Minister of Foreign Affairs Kong Xuanyou (孔铉佑) becomes China’s new Ambassador to Japan

On 29 May 2019, Vice Minister of Foreign Affairs Kong Xuanyou, who covered the portfolio of Asian affairs and served as China’s Special Representative on Korean Peninsula Affairs, was appointed Chinese Ambassador to Japan. His vice minister position is being taken by former Chinese Ambassador to India Luo Zhaohui. Notably, Luo was Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MFA)’s Department of Asian Affairs Director from 2011 to 2014, and was succeeded by Kong who then served in the same position from 2014 to 2015. In other words, Luo had a head-start in his career, but was later surpassed by Kong, who was promoted to assistant to minister position in 2015 and then vice minister position in 2017. The reason is simple—Kong is a protégé of former State Councilor and Minister of Foreign Affairs Tang Jiaxuan (唐家璇)—Tang has been the single most influential voice on any appointment related to China-Japan relationship—it was under his direct advice that current Foreign Minister Wang Yi (王毅) was appointed Chinese Ambassador to Japan in 2004, and it was also under his direct recommendation that Wang Yi outcompeted Zhang Zhijun (张志军) to become Foreign Minister in 2013. Tang was a Minister to Japan from 1988 to 1991, and was in charge of Japan affairs in MFA for most part of 1990s.

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State Council Development Research Center (DRC) President Li Wei (李伟) retires

On 29 May 2019, State Council DRC President Li Wei retired from his post due to exceed age limit. Li Wei was born in August 1953, who will turn 66 in three months. Li’s retirement came later than expected—Xi has been retiring most ministerial-ranking officials before they reached their age limit of 65—especially for provincial party secretaries and governors during the transition from 18thto 19thParty Congress—most of these principal provincial officials retired before 65, usually around 63 to 64, in an effort to clear way for Xi’s confidants. One example is former Jiangsu Party Secretary Luo Zhijun (罗志军), who retired from his position one and a half year before reaching age limit, so that Xi can promote his confidant Li Qiang (李强), then-Zhejiang Governor and now Shanghai Party Secretary, to Jiangsu for a brief period as party secretary, prepping his for the Shanghai seat. Li Wei’s delayed retirement is likely a result of Xi’s favor over confidants of former Premier Zhu Rongji (朱镕基)—Li Wei was Zhu’s chief of staff from 1998 to 2003, during the entire tenure of Zhu as Premier of the State Council. Officials related to Zhu have been favored in recent promotions—another secretary of Zhu, Li Bingjun (李炳军), who worked under Li Wei in 1990s, was promoted to Jiangxi Vice Party Secretary position in May 2018. Born in 1963, Li Bingjun is a contender for full provincial positions in the coming years.

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Hunan political and legal affairs commission chief stepped down

News: Hunan CCPSC member, Political and Legal Affairs Commission Chief and People’s Congress Vice Chairman Huang Guanchun (黄关春) stepped down from the posts in CCPSC today, and will now be only taking the seat in Hunan People’s Congress. Quick Take: Born in 1959, Huang is now aged 60 and has just reached the retirement age for vice-provincial level officials. In line with CCP’s tight uphold on its age limit per usual, Huang should step down from the “frontline”, namely the CCPSC, to prepare for full retirement. Upon Huang’s appointment notice today, Hunan is now lacking both Political and Legal Affairs Commission Chief and Organization Chief.

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Hunan CCP Standing Committee (CCPSC) member and Political and Legal Affairs Commission Chairman Huang Guanchun (黄关春) retires to Hunan People’s Congress

Former Chongqing Mayor Li dianxun (李殿勋) takes Huang’s vacancy. Li’s vacancy will be succeeded by former Chongqing Development and Reform Commission Chairman Xiong Xue (熊雪). Huang’s profile has recently been taken down from Hunan Political and Legal Affairs Commission website, suggesting that he has resigned from his position. Earlier this year, Huang was elected Vice Chairman of Hunan People’s Congress in January. Born in February 1959, Huang has reached age of retirement for vice-provincial ranking officials. The appointment of Li Dianxun to succeed Huang indicates that Li is most likely vetted clean in Chongqing’s political scandal—Li briefly served as Chongqing Government Vice Secretary-General from 2014 to 2015 and as Chongqing Science and Technology Commission (STC) Chairman from 2015 to 2018, before being appointed Chongqing Vice Mayor. There were rumors that Li Dianxun was sidelined to Chongqing STC primarily because of him not willing to play the game with then-Politburo member and Chongqing Party Secretary Sun Zhengcai (孙政才), who was ousted for corruption—Li was Nanchuan District Party Secretary prior to his appointment to Chongqing Government Vice Secretary-General, a position that would give him a ticket to be directly promoted to be Chongqing Vice Mayor. As an example, his successor as Nanchuan District Party Secretary Li Mingqing (李明清) was promoted to be Chongqing Vice Mayor at the same time in March 2018, when Li Dianxun was promoted. Li Dianxun’s latest promotion to Hunan reinforces our view that he is clean and not related to Sun Zhengcai’s corruption network in Chongqing. Li Dianxun’s vice mayor seat is being taken by Xiong Xue, who had been Chongqing Development and Reform Commission Chairman since March 2018. Xiong led the development of two new districts within Chongqing, the Northern New District and the Liangjiang New District.

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China launches propaganda campaign against the United States, echoing what it did to Soviet Union 56 years ago

From 14 to 22 May 2019, People’s Daily, the single-most important mouthpiece of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), published a series of nine commentaries written by “Zhong Sheng” (钟声, “Bell Tone” by literal translation), which is a pseudonym used by People’s Daily’s International Department since November 2008 for commentaries on China’s position and proposition on major international issues and China-related topics. Below is a list of all nine commentaries with their original Chinese title, the English translation of title, and the original People’s Daily web links. We’ve summarized the main arguments of each commentary, which may be provided upon request. Contact us or send us an email at team[at]plenum.ai to receive the full analysis. Date/Page/Section Chinese Title/English Translation/Link 14 May 2019 Page 3 Left Section 谁在“为赋新词强说愁”(钟声)——“美国吃亏论”可以休矣 Who Is “Feigning Sorrow to Compose New Verses”?—Argument of United States Being Taken Advantage of Should Stop by Now http://paper.people.com.cn/rmrb/html/2019-05/14/nw.D110000renmrb_20190514_1-03.htm 15 May 2019 Page 4 Left Section 不要陶醉于自欺欺人的“胜利”(钟声)——“加征关税有利论”可以休矣 Do Not Be Enchanted by Self-Deceiving “Victory”—Argument of Additional Tariffs Being Good for United States Should Stop by Now http://paper.people.com.cn/rmrb/html/2019-05/15/nw.D110000renmrb_20190515_3-04.htm 16 May 2019 Page 4 Right Section 谁在“出尔”,谁在“反尔”(钟声)——“中国出尔反尔论”可以休矣 Who Is Contradicting and Backtracking Itself?—Argument of China Being Contradicting Should Stop by Now http://paper.people.com.cn/rmrb/html/2019-05/16/nw.D110000renmrb_20190516_3-04.htm 17 May 2019 Page 3 Left Section 从来就没有什么救世主(钟声)——“美国重建中国论”可以休矣 There Is No Supreme Savior—Argument of United States Rebuilding China Should Stop by Now http://paper.people.com.cn/rmrb/html/2019-05/17/nw.D110000renmrb_20190517_3-03.htm 18 May 2019 Page 3 Left Section 欲加之罪,何患无罪(钟声)——“中国强制转让技术论”可以休矣 If You Want to Incriminate Someone, You Can Always Create a Suitable Crime—US Should Stop Fabricating ‘Forced Transfer of Technology’ Accusation http://paper.people.com.cn/rmrb/html/2019-05/18/nw.D110000renmrb_20190518_3-03.htm 19 May 2019 Page 3 Left Section 香者自香,臭者自臭(钟声)——“中国技术有害论”可以休矣 Fragrant People Will Always Be Fragrant, While Stinky People Will Always Be Stinky—Stop Bogus ‘Harmful Chinese Tech’ Narrative http://paper.people.com.cn/rmrb/html/2019-05/19/nw.D110000renmrb_20190519_3-03.htm 20 May 2019 Page 3 Left Section 捕风捉影者,风必摧之(钟声)——“中国盗窃知识产权论”可以休矣 Those Who Speak or Act on Hearsay Evidence Will Eventually Be Destroyed by Hearsay—US Lies of China’s IP Theft to Be Blown Down http://paper.people.com.cn/rmrb/html/2019-05/20/nw.D110000renmrb_20190520_3-03.htm 21 May 2019 Page 3 Left Section 不要逆历史潮流而动(钟声)——“对华文明冲突论”可以休矣 Never Go Against the Trend of History—Argument of Clash of Civilization with China Should Stop by Now http://paper.people.com.cn/rmrb/html/2019-05/21/nw.D110000renmrb_20190521_3-03.htm 22 May 2019 Page 3 Left Section 轻舟已过万重山(钟声)——“中国退步论”可以休矣 The Canoe Has Surfed Past Thousands of Mountains—China Never “Backtracks” and Will Never Stop Efforts for Development http://paper.people.com.cn/rmrb/html/2019-05/22/nw.D110000renmrb_20190522_3-03.htm Analysis: “Nine commentaries” hold special significance in China’s propaganda front—56 years ago, People’s Daily published a series of nine commentaries on Soviet Union from 1963 to 1964, at a time when China and the Soviet Union were engaged in tense conflicts and debates over Nikita Khrushchev’s revisionist approach to Communism. The series of nine commentaries from 1963 to 1964 became CCP’s conclusion of the stalemate of Sino-Soviet relationship during Khrushchev’s rule of Soviet Union. Two specific reasons make us believe that the nine commentaries published in May 2019 are comparable to those published in 1963 and 1964. First, the subtitles of all nine commentaries follow the same format, with each one addressing a specific point of the current US-China conflict—this is exactly the same as the nine commentaries published in 1963 and 1964. Second, before the nine commentaries on Soviet Union, then-First Secretary of CCP Central Committee Secretariat Deng Xiaoping led a CCP delegation to Moscow in June 1963 to negotiate with Khrushchev. The negotiation did not bear any meaningful fruit, while Khrushchev publicly fought back against CCP’s 25 Points on General Roadmap of International Communism Movement, a message relayed during Deng’s June visit to Moscow, by issuing a public letter in July 1963. Khrushchev’s public slapping China became the final trigger of the nine commentaries. The nine commentaries published on May 2019 is under similar circumstances, where Chinese Vice Premier Liu He just finished an unsuccessful trip to the United States, before President Trump slapping China on the face by announcing the 25% tariff and adding Huawei onto Commerce’s Entity List. Therefore, we highly recommend you to consider these nine commentaries as China’s position papers on China-US relationship, at least in the most immediate future before Trump administration demonstrates any intention to go back to the negotiation table and shows Trump’s commitment to hold his words.

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Central organization deputy chief transferred to SCOPSR

News: CCP Central Committee Organization Department Deputy Chief Zhou Zuyi (周祖翼) was promoted to State Commission Office for Public Sector Reform (SCOPSR) Chief today. Quick Take: A Zhejiang local, Zhou’s political career started in Shanghai Tongji University after getting his PhD degree, and was appointed in 2011 as Tongji’s Party Secretary (vice-ministerial level). He was further promoted to Central Organization Department in 2014, as the Director of the No.2 Bureau of Cadre Administration, one of the most powerful bureaus in the department that took main charge of personnel-related issues. In October 2016 he was again promoted to Central Organization Deputy Chief. Aged 54, Zhou will now become the youngest among all 16 chiefs of committees and offices under CCP Central Committee. Interestingly, the career trajectory of Zhou’s predecessor Zhang Jinan (张纪南) looked very similar to Zhou’s—Zhang was also central organization deputy chief before being appointed SCOPSR chief, and was concurrently appointed Minister of Human Resources and Social Security (MOHRSS) in March 2018.

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Vice Premier to head leading group on employment

News: The State Council has decided to form a leading group on employment (国务院就业工作领导小组) on 22 May, and has appointed Vice Premier Hu Chunhua (胡春华) as its chief. Main duties of this leading group include coordinating national employment work; researching major issues in employment; working on related regulations, plans and policies etc. Quick Take: Employment has evidently become China’s “political red line”—the country has vowed to create more than 11 million urban jobs and maintain the unemployment rate of 5.5% as its primary goals in 2019. However, as tensions with the US and the continuing domestic economic downturn have further complicated the situation, this leading group is created to prevent employment from worsening off and causing potential disruptions that could damage social stability. This fatal task is assigned to Vice Premier Hu Chunhua, who has previously headed multiple leading groups dedicated to CCP’s key initiatives, including State Council Leading Group of Poverty Alleviation and Development and Central Rural Work Leading Group.

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Inner Mongolia secretary-general appointed

News: Inner Mongolia Vice Chairman Zhang Shaochun (张韶春) was appointed the region’s CCPSC member and Secretary-General today. Quick Take: Zhang started his political career in 1983 in central government, and had since served in multiple ministries and commissions, but mostly taking the secretary position. In 2005 he was transferred to his home province Anhui to become Anhui NDRC Deputy Head, and has since been promoted within the province until January 2018, when he was reshuffled again to serve as Inner Mongolia Vice Chairman. Interestingly, Yang Weidong (杨伟东) was the other Vice Chairman appointed along with Zhang in 2018, who also got a new appointment in March as Inner Mongolia CCPSC member and Organization Chief. Upon Zhang’s appointment today, he will now take up the position left by Luo Yonggang (罗永纲), who was transferred to Hubei as a CCPSC member and Political and Legal Affairs Commission Chief on 28 April.

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